Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82b91801546afa3d7f3ca3362b9f5f3fc3a2ce7214d2cc7a4fa906372e86556a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 28c | 1,322$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.88 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…e5b9backed Over | 76c | 539.61$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 34c | 518$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed Over | 65c | 455.11$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…78f6backed Over | 76c | 312.18$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4430backed Over | 45c | 309$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc834…685fbacked Over | 76c | 281.18$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 24c | 240.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 39c | 149.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Over | 69c | 144.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…c9d2backed Over | 44c | 94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 35c | 85.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 62c | 82.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 70.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 76c | 64.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 25c | 55.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Over | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Under | 37c | 48.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…1d0cbacked Over | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa87e…33abbacked Over | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 77c | 33.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 44c | 23.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 779 | 49.9%389 W · 390 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.