Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db58b92982e89c910e37edc0ebe47400e7542f41614206aa234ff00d67e0e2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked G2 Esports | 40c | 4,642$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.99 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 3,703$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.33 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 1,023$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.31 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed G2 Esports | 24c | 420$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked G2 Esports | 64c | 418.06$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 413.46$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed G2 Esports | 25c | 402.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 307.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed G2 Esports | 25c | 279.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 272.47$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 193.27$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 112 | 67.9%76 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed G2 Esports | 21c | 70.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked G2 Esports | 25c | 56.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed G2 Esports | 75c | 56.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked G2 Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…f448backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.