Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78cd4f4911abe6c7262d6d657f7d68806c2b5bd40b7f37f3d63fbd59cf5a914d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed G2 Esports | 40c | 13,546$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.03 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 10,000$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.74 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 4,227$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.06 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 3,033$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.52 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked G2 Esports | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed G2 Esports | 44c | 1,211$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.71 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked G2 Esports | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9895…ea0dbacked G2 Esports | 37c | 965$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed G2 Esports | 44c | 927.36$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.04 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed G2 Esports | 37c | 879.89$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.56 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked G2 Esports | 42c | 698.39$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 590.6$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.75 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 583.5$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed G2 Esports | 50c | 500.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed G2 Esports | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed G2 Esports | 43c | 459.14$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Esports | 43c | 413.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed G2 Esports | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked G2 Esports | 45c | 253.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed G2 Esports | 59c | 165.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked G2 Esports | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed G2 Esports | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 74.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked G2 Esports | 42c | 70.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 61.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 52.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…0855backed G2 Esports | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked G2 Esports | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 43.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 36.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…3f9bbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 35.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b7…1911backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed G2 Esports | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed G2 Esports | 58c | 23.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22b…0c47backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 23.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked G2 Esports | 59c | 22.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.