Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf69e27b427c48c321457b2c31dc1bd812e1d4848272832b7f29c78ab031271c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked Over | 49c | 49,411$24,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,398.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 35,478$18,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,684.49 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 52c | 17,141$8,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,227.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 49c | 15,410$7,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,859.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 48c | 13,258$6,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.77 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 12,546$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,022.08 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Over | 49c | 8,847$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 7,725$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.5 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Under | 51c | 6,467$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 49c | 5,639$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.41 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…ea51backed Under | 51c | 5,490$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 5,265$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…6302backed Under | 51c | 5,207$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 4,800$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…a14cbacked Under | 51c | 4,706$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under | 56c | 4,000$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Under | 4c | 3,800$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.92 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 44c | 3,434$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 47c | 3,164$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.91 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 52c | 3,021$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.25 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 52c | 2,859$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 51c | 2,225$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 2,086$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.14 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 52c | 2,083$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Over | 48c | 2,037$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 51c | 1,912$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.08 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 1,789$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 55c | 1,749$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 48c | 1,688$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.91 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 3c | 1,620$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 44c | 1,463$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.58 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 53c | 1,418$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed Under | 50c | 1,417$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 51c | 1,407$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,080$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.33 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 71c | 1,066$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Under | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 858.01$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.98 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 52c | 775$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.13 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 577.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 548$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.39 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 53c | 488$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.36 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 51c | 467.78$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.57 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Under | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…4047backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over | 49c | 382.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 325.59$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Under | 58c | 315$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Under | 58c | 314.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 45c | 309.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 295.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 51c | 286$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b7…21e1backed Under | 53c | 278.23$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 277$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 263.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Under | 76c | 263.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 56c | 244.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Under | 51c | 212.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…aaeabacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Under | 41c | 196.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Under | 51c | 190.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Under | 33c | 185.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 52c | 181.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Over | 52c | 174.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 173.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 34c | 172.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 44c | 171.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 62c | 161.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…dab6backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 56c | 130.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 125.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.