TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd997…53f2backed No44c3,796$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd39…234fbacked Yes56c3,785$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Yes56c3,588$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5083…9cbdbacked No44c3,577$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No42c2,903$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.2734144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c2,893$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.811,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No1c2,672$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.722619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No1c2,404$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0416046.9%75 W · 85 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c2,400$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.973,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes58c2,245$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.387967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.39560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30dc…9fa0backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes36c905.21$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.966921.7%15 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No42c759.48$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9827726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes57c747.36$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.365848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes52c673.12$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.645046%23 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed No43c582$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.267057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No42c500.89$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0338748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2154360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No44c444.64$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6448658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0338055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes56c419$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3630054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes57c367$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.510361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed No61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1294658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes57c255.55$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.891764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2706…7ab8backed Yes77c249.39$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No44c243.85$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2976234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889062.2%56 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8617055.3%94 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Yes57c191.07$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.913246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+31.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c148.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4181732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Yes58c145$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No46c140.43$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.051,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes38c133.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.322,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No42c130.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7749647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No42c119.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2131145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes57c107.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.389252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2622157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes53c103.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7311543.5%50 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+41.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa41a…e905backed Yes57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed80…0022backed No63c80.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes57c71.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9320753.6%111 W · 96 L+22.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes52c69.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2710057%57 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked No43c69.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013754%74 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked No42c65.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.41947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Yes58c63.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.522040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc4b…8410backed Yes58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.824261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573070%21 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes47c53.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.165942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed No44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225543.6%24 W · 31 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Yes57c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.552948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c47.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.441,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed No45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed No53c43.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+53.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fb…66b2backed Yes56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No76c37.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7121540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No45c35.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.876241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.097958.2%46 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.099067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf23c…555dbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed No59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No59c32.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.327463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cf1…23c6backed Yes56c32.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.162334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No65c31.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6238151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfac…b532backed Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Yes57c30.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.362452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Yes58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6c…2bf7backed Yes48c28.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.811361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No57c26.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.151,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaabd…54fcbacked Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111556.5%65 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No42c23.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.088647.7%41 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.642948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.610864.8%70 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd777…daf8backed Yes58c18.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.