TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c4,478$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.263,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under36c2,350$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.995145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Over72c2,164$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.891361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under28c1,654$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.0838748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over71c1,131$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9516045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over69c1,110$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.18068.8%55 W · 25 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over64c960.85$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.9156547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under29c887.53$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.348658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over71c718$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2212861.7%79 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c408.06$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.312,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under42c399.98$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.678246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over68c360$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.22412.5%3 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-58.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Under34c333.38$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.161225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under29c330.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9927726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over69c323.19$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.195466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.519943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1595356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753773%27 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Under25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over58c267.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.552657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under31c250.01$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1749647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over68c215$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.86921.7%15 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick65cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under40c199.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.224452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over60c190$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under36c184.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9434144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c6…6d67backed Under28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Over68c177.63$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.841450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under29c173.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Under30c158.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5510642.5%45 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9312271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb7…7a94backed Over64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510946.8%51 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c117.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1581732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under30c105.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.761,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under31c92.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5921540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.37550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Over70c88.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.032060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9622157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6676234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.48665.1%56 W · 30 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over65c77.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.219254.7%105 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424452.3%23 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over64c70.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3134655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Over64c68.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.771233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over66c61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.741070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over76c56.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.572236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2149143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…27d6backed Under27c54.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.791330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over63c50.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.936936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.239846.9%46 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2457…e8dcbacked Under32c43.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under30c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69742.3%41 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over69c40.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.65870.7%41 W · 17 L+10.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Under32c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1390%0 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over70c35.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6215244.1%67 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over74c35.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88c…f67dbacked Over70c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over66c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.910154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6721051.4%108 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Over63c30.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4410051%51 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f1…1744backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3af…2c0abacked Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1f…3df5backed Over67c25.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.26366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…a71fbacked Over69c24.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over69c24.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.538151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51b…ad4dbacked Over64c23.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a28…7b51backed Over71c22.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7413066.9%87 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.210864.8%70 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Over71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88dc…30cbbacked Over69c19.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef1…d82bbacked Over69c15.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.