TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Zeynep Sonmez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sonmezof Alexandrova, Sonmez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Sonmez36c14,490$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,236.3511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sonmez65c8,092$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.778,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alexandrova25c7,622$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.611,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sonmez47c6,360$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,381.92,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Alexandrova75c5,556$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.6314643.2%63 W · 83 L-15.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Alexandrova80c5,223$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,170.84148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Alexandrova47c5,000$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.0918047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sonmez41c4,168$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.457,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sonmez34c4,159$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.892,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alexandrova35c4,131$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.361,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Sonmez29c3,657$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.1335247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Sonmez30c3,125$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.231,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Alexandrova44c3,015$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3392839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Alexandrova73c2,750$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.514940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Alexandrova64c2,584$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6476549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Alexandrova47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Alexandrova65c1,862$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.1728451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alexandrova60c1,613$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.461,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Sonmez29c1,418$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.7819023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alexandrova76c1,249$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.736,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Sonmez19c999.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9981938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Sonmez50c721.38$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0319846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Alexandrova68c700$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.3725542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Alexandrova65c650$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Sonmez44c598.2$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0828139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed Alexandrova68c482.69$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3263551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sonmez46c478.26$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Sonmez27c472.93$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.249044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Alexandrova74c385.35$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1621959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Sonmez18c367$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.743423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Sonmez26c365.19$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.046043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Alexandrova74c349.77$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8329661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Sonmez44c313.94$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.357041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Alexandrova46c282.85$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.381,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Sonmez34c269.92$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1326244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Sonmez33c264.11$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.45944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Alexandrova61c234.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3412154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Alexandrova65c230.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0121949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sonmez80c225.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.094,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Sonmez24c206.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.120431.9%65 W · 139 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Alexandrova5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Alexandrova71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14278452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Sonmez29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1424245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Alexandrova53c199.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1427058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Alexandrova13c194.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.973444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Alexandrova54c185.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Alexandrova77c185.29$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6714663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Alexandrova21c184.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6128835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Sonmez49c173.57$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3722236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb878…e3e2backed Alexandrova74c167.04$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.171855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alexandrova42c165.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0288455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Alexandrova71c151.63$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.152,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Sonmez9c149.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.734599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Alexandrova52c140.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5893048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Alexandrova10c127.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7916144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Alexandrova34c118$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.126432.8%21 W · 43 L-8.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sonmez10c108.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.532,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5778…86c0backed Alexandrova21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.856533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Alexandrova50c99.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9651342.9%220 W · 293 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24fc…2d72backed Alexandrova77c90$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Alexandrova71c82.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0516861.3%103 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Alexandrova66c74.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.017444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Sonmez40c72.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6535944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Alexandrova60c69.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9940144.1%177 W · 224 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Alexandrova57c63.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2594060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a65…0237backed Alexandrova32c57.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Alexandrova73c53.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.81,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Sonmez45c51.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.664055%22 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e5…18f4backed Alexandrova73c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.453868.4%26 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Alexandrova78c44.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Alexandrova74c43.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1312846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Alexandrova75c42.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3249955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a4…3fd8backed Sonmez32c41.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed Sonmez47c39.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.112231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Sonmez77c39.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.097537.3%28 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb2e…4d83backed Sonmez61c32.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.692560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Sonmez39c31.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.146657.6%38 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7643…80cbbacked Alexandrova51c30.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…7426backed Alexandrova73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.913964.7%90 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Alexandrova80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245149%25 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82a…ef47backed Alexandrova68c29.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Sonmez69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Sonmez57c28.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1614947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0f…956fbacked Sonmez60c27.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked Alexandrova73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f83…94cabacked Sonmez39c26.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf837…8b61backed Sonmez39c25.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.842152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6470…aac7backed Sonmez78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641560%9 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Alexandrova41c25.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.572119%4 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-68.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8854…070cbacked Alexandrova73c25.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.432055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x060f…cf8bbacked Alexandrova64c23.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Sonmez66c20.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0111553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Alexandrova74c20.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.868645.3%39 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2800…c9d2backed Alexandrova65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc4…c278backed Alexandrova76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x335d…2d3abacked Alexandrova73c18.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed Sonmez80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.515364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.