Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473539a7353390c351fcb55d59e20a4b0ec3f35f92c93244221a9e49f0965160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 37c | 12,046$4,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.14 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 48c | 11,605$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.8 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Fnatic | 28c | 11,144$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.72 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.96 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 8,387$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.6 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Fnatic | 33c | 7,823$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.13 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fnatic | 37c | 7,809$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.42 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 6,965$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.39 | 824 | 52.7%434 W · 390 L | +41.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Fnatic | 46c | 6,529$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.52 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 6,522$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 6,231$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic | 53c | 6,001$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.5 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic | 45c | 5,999$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.09 | 859 | 42.7%367 W · 492 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 5,279$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.46 | 1,203 | 54%650 W · 553 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Fnatic | 50c | 5,200$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.07 | 230 | 20%46 W · 184 L | -17.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 5,148$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.76 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Fnatic | 39c | 5,141$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked Fnatic | 5c | 5,101$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Fnatic | 42c | 5,062$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.2 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fnatic | 51c | 5,020$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.8 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Fnatic | 4c | 4,771$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Fnatic | 50c | 4,466$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224 | 1,016 | 47%478 W · 538 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Fnatic | 54c | 4,437$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,437$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Fnatic | 10c | 4,418$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.08 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Fnatic | 19c | 3,995$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.89 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,897$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,831$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.23 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Fnatic | 2c | 3,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,155$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.11 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Fnatic | 3c | 3,100$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,000$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.25 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 2,901$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.77 | 356 | 48.9%174 W · 182 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Fnatic | 53c | 2,852$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.95 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Fnatic | 9c | 2,827$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.22 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Fnatic | 39c | 2,780$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.98 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fnatic | 42c | 2,320$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.3 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Fnatic | 33c | 2,250$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.93 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,189$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.44 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,008$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.88 | 373 | 44%164 W · 209 L | -16.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,749$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.51 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Fnatic | 3c | 1,700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,576$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Fnatic | 5c | 1,431$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 1,013 | 49.1%497 W · 516 L | +29.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Fnatic | 1c | 1,360$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Fnatic | 7c | 1,308$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 1,060 | 28.5%302 W · 758 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Fnatic | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 329 | 44.1%145 W · 184 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89be…b4a5backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,206$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 319 | 49.8%159 W · 160 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Fnatic | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…8409backed Fnatic | 49c | 1,144$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Fnatic | 39c | 1,140$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.95 | 756 | 49.6%375 W · 381 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.1 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Fnatic | 18c | 1,018$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,012$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.61 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Fnatic | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…231fbacked Fnatic | 17c | 1,000$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 975.02$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.51 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Fnatic | 18c | 950$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fnatic | 15c | 882.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c5…3094backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 880.1$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 800$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Fnatic | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fnatic | 10c | 711.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 705.9$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.95 | 1,005 | 54%543 W · 462 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,071 | 47.1%504 W · 567 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940d…ddd0backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 679.43$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 664.73$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.19 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Fnatic | 48c | 658.45$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.06 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fnatic | 31c | 640.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.37 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fnatic | 23c | 628.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Fnatic | 5c | 550$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Fnatic | 51c | 540$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…d9d0backed Fnatic | 51c | 522.35$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Fnatic | 15c | 514.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 663 | 16.4%109 W · 554 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 507 | 70%355 W · 152 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Fnatic | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 473.94$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.83 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 121 | 37.2%45 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Fnatic | 13c | 426.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 418.33$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…f54ebacked Fnatic | 9c | 410.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 393.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 374$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 357.33$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…e2b5backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 343.57$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Fnatic | 51c | 340.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 325.19$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 1,219 | 54.5%664 W · 555 L | +52.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 321.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Fnatic | 9c | 311$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 310$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Fnatic | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Natus Vincere won
- First Blood in Game 2?Fnatic won
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.