Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f951bd43c9aa8ae778058827d0b61a19a6d5e49f042866cf1fcc204f44084a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Fnatic | 48c | 20,703$9,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,959.27 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 18,033$9,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,623.81 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 15,891$8,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.56 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Fnatic | 48c | 15,291$7,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350.75 | 230 | 20%46 W · 184 L | -17.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fnatic | 48c | 15,037$7,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,276.96 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Fnatic | 33c | 13,297$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.68 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Fnatic | 3c | 11,110$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.7 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Fnatic | 45c | 9,655$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.07 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 9,208$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.46 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 7,587$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.12 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Fnatic | 51c | 5,873$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.13 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 5,375$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.83 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 36c | 5,061$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.89 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fnatic | 40c | 4,872$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.25 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 4,377$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.95 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Fnatic | 49c | 4,075$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.37 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Fnatic | 47c | 4,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 4,000$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.99 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fnatic | 12c | 3,491$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.77 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,449$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.56 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Fnatic | 46c | 3,416$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.1 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,414$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.17 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,179$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.19 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 3,129$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.69 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,082$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.36 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 34c | 2,952$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.17 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,940$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.6 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Fnatic | 45c | 2,444$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,304$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.89 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic | 43c | 2,185$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.91 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Fnatic | 32c | 2,125$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.02 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Fnatic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Fnatic | 42c | 1,941$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.34 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Fnatic | 49c | 1,915$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.3 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Fnatic | 34c | 1,891$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.81 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic | 42c | 1,591$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.74 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fnatic | 45c | 1,523$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.71 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Fnatic | 46c | 1,329$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.98 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…231fbacked Fnatic | 39c | 1,300$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.6 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,273$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.11 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fnatic | 23c | 1,174$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.77 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Fnatic | 45c | 1,150$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Fnatic | 46c | 1,141$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.31 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,110$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.51 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,100$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed Fnatic | 25c | 1,100$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,046$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.06 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bd53backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,039$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Fnatic | 49c | 1,008$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Fnatic | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed Fnatic | 2c | 867.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 797.9$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.99 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 772.21$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.38 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 700$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Fnatic | 45c | 663.62$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.63 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ad…4c93backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 661.67$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Fnatic | 36c | 652.07$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.31 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 633.25$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.53 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 624.83$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.42 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 621.3$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.75 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 610.49$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Fnatic | 47c | 600$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Fnatic | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 570.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.95 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fnatic | 35c | 545.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Fnatic | 44c | 540.16$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 505.8$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 503.63$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 298 | 56.4%168 W · 130 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Fnatic | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 497.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Fnatic | 46c | 456.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…27eabacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 453$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Fnatic | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Fnatic | 8c | 450$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 423.82$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Fnatic | 13c | 421.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Fnatic | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fnatic | 47c | 407$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Fnatic | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Fnatic | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Fnatic | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a8…68ebbacked Fnatic | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Fnatic | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Fnatic | 48c | 394.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Fnatic | 51c | 392.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Natus Vincere won
- First Blood in Game 2?Fnatic won
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.