TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$560,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$579,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,087 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd12c…f2d4backed Yes46c170,843$78,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,003.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed No55c119,245$65,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,957.982356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c99,275$53,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,418.562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No55c32,091$17,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,441.113557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c26,701$12,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,184.9452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Yes47c21,538$10,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,123933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c20,303$7,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,855.7171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes47c18,617$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7502544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No53c15,120$8,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,106.379159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No53c14,787$7,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,949.894459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked No55c14,005$7,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,370.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c13,948$6,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,095.031,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes46c13,641$6,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,248.9337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes47c12,756$5,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,995.321717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No54c11,047$5,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,081.143756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No53c10,434$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,903.984940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No53c10,300$5,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8035156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No54c9,939$5,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,571.83542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0617…154dbacked No58c8,851$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d8…bd4dbacked Yes47c8,557$4,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,02210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes43c7,115$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.21,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No54c6,002$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.8712957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes46c5,900$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,739.1731049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes47c5,656$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.22850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes47c5,328$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5041127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Yes47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3502540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No53c4,998$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.985354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No54c4,102$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.923050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No57c3,941$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.626553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No56c3,919$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.494856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.0112839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1259355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No54c2,415$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.054468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No54c2,170$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.372944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No54c2,122$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.1217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes38c2,010$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.3748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c1,959$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.6611355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes45c1,895$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9128448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes39c1,369$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5342240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes43c1,304$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.746648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes45c1,113$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2614452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4707549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c972$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.129553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No54c962.93$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.3129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No57c878.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.531656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes45c780.65$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.253348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed No57c756.13$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.313729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes47c693.62$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes45c636.31$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c600.23$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6735650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821675%12 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+78.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No53c600$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.514045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes44c532$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.083336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked No54c450.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.533647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes41c440.56$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6318847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Yes47c427.66$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes23c391.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.373447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c359$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1414337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No55c359$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.762962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.145135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes46c355.5$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.531844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9425…f025backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No53c300.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0110838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1414151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes44c292.27$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5618155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No53c283.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0126550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c273.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No55c245.43$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.444751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No53c240.54$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.053259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes45c230$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.53938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes39c227$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.769863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c225.01$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.526845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No55c224$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.810948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Yes49c204.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes34c176.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No57c175.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.432962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes47c164.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed No56c151$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.461471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes47c138.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.548942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c135$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.