Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2289c114c43a109aa889828fd2758e2e1d9b38a045b3be21da35e5d9a6dff0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 26c | 57,308$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 11,611$8,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.88 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 11,120$8,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.68 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 9,687$7,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.21 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 8,905$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.25 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 8,633$6,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 8,424$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.18 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 8,292$6,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.46 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 74c | 4,856$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.55 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 4,805$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.15 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 27c | 4,323$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.13 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 75c | 4,000$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 3,767$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.76 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 3,709$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.21 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 79c | 3,212$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,050$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 21c | 2,105$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 26c | 1,921$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.46 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 27c | 1,737$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 1,480$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 1,401$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.75 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 29c | 1,314$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.99 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,300$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.78 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 74c | 1,255$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.02 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 10c | 1,170$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 26c | 1,132$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked No | 72c | 1,123$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 30c | 1,011$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 16c | 935.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 72c | 921.49$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.23 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 26c | 822.8$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 23c | 752.55$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…fe54backed Yes | 28c | 718.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 11c | 686.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 12c | 683$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 678.57$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 24c | 662.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…af9dbacked Yes | 25c | 600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 74c | 600$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 14c | 507.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…e818backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 14c | 481.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Yes | 33c | 459.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 25c | 455.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…9c22backed Yes | 26c | 450$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…9658backed No | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 32c | 431.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 29c | 431.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb96…38d6backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b74abacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 20c | 400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 27c | 370.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 23c | 345.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 29c | 342.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 342.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 73c | 342.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 19c | 336.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 327.08$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 26c | 293.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 291.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…0ec7backed Yes | 15c | 276.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked No | 74c | 268.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 26c | 263$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 79c | 256.15$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 29c | 253.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…cba0backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…c905backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 26c | 249$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 74c | 247$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 8c | 243.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 242.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 17c | 240.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 24c | 238.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 74c | 230$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 73c | 230$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?Yes won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.