Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a1a4d6ea06b426b2992684b05874a7ca4b52984c0209b96a690204edc3563f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 73c | 31,900$23,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,287 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 21,043$6,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,742.05 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 27c | 11,324$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,266.39 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 4,949$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.14 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 28c | 4,200$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 4,199$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.29 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 52c | 3,535$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…20f7backed No | 71c | 3,257$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 3,225$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.61 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 69c | 3,224$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.89 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 73c | 1,876$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 1,330$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.16 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Yes | 76c | 1,159$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 1,086$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.92 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 67c | 1,019$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.21 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…fe54backed Yes | 21c | 948.31$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…beefbacked No | 72c | 906$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…fcfcbacked Yes | 28c | 897$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 871.05$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.92 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 28c | 810$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 27c | 777.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 28c | 750$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 487.32$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 37c | 448.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 27c | 448$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.04 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…fd2dbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 28c | 418$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.96 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 27c | 409.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…2c80backed No | 72c | 404$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…f2c5backed Yes | 28c | 395$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 7c | 389$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 378.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 24c | 311.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 305$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 44c | 303.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 29c | 296.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 286.54$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 50c | 236$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 17c | 218.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 30c | 212.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 28c | 198.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 28c | 187.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 29c | 172.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 34c | 169.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 62c | 164.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b5…8ccfbacked Yes | 29c | 154.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 22c | 152.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 151.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 73c | 136$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…ed87backed Yes | 28c | 135.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 65c | 131.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 32c | 123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 116.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 63c | 103.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 29c | 100.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 99.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 22c | 94.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 27c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 67c | 89.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4b36backed No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 85.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…37e3backed Yes | 47c | 79.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 27c | 76.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 58c | 73.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Yes | 28c | 71.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…2f01backed Yes | 29c | 69.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…ff86backed Yes | 29c | 62.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…dac4backed Yes | 28c | 60.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 29c | 58.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 57.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…65acbacked Yes | 29c | 57.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 72c | 57.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 56.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 28c | 54.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…21c4backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 54.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…0ec7backed No | 49c | 53.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d808backed No | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.