Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84dafe9f2279632f74ba2dfbbfd460de832d4c1bd46dbc3179f49879ffe2c476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 12,223$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 46c | 12,203$5,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,613.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 54c | 11,574$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.07 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 53c | 10,324$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.13 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…b09bbacked No | 52c | 8,526$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 4,452$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.38 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 47c | 3,753$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.09 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 63c | 3,551$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 3,524$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.16 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 47c | 3,205$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.12 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 2,861$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.73 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 68c | 2,175$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.23 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…38e2backed Yes | 45c | 1,954$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 1,721$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 46c | 1,508$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.86 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 1,400$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.31 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,349$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.86 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 1,331$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.93 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 42c | 1,279$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.77 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 30c | 1,189$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 54c | 940$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.4 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 30c | 921.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.34 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 70c | 889.99$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 859$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.01 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 44c | 744.89$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.59 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 47c | 741$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.17 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 46c | 723.91$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 61c | 717.57$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 67c | 704.4$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…137cbacked Yes | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 26c | 682.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.94 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 47c | 670.21$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…a7c8backed No | 54c | 670$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75e…c325backed No | 54c | 670$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e6…0d1fbacked Yes | 47c | 640$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…f3f6backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 583.36$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 49c | 581.47$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Yes | 46c | 529.64$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 48c | 529.17$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 46c | 525$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 55c | 519.15$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 45c | 483.2$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 46c | 475.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.74 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 34c | 445$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 390.59$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 363$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060b…632bbacked No | 54c | 363$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…2d79backed No | 54c | 361.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…a0dbbacked No | 54c | 357.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…a8d6backed Yes | 47c | 348.12$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3f…280ebacked Yes | 47c | 345.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…4d92backed Yes | 47c | 343.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…29c8backed No | 54c | 338.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…f111backed Yes | 47c | 325.17$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 37c | 320$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…b910backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 46c | 308.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 43c | 307.35$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.19 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…7466backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…8f72backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Yes | 21c | 277$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 57c | 265.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 47c | 261.81$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 48c | 257$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 242.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 54c | 241.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…9496backed No | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 48c | 233.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 43c | 228.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 10c | 222.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 47c | 199.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 47c | 191.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed No | 33c | 182.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 65c | 175.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 46c | 166$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 165.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 156.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 34c | 155$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.