TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x377e…f111

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28.84
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$105.2
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36.46
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$8.55
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.55
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$94.75
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.58
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$171.29
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$160.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39.27
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.23
Portland Pilots vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$37.14
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+98.8%+$70.45
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61%+$21.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$57.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$152.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$66.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.