TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beacons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valparaiso Beaconsof Bradley Braves, Valparaiso Beacons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x294a…bbbabacked Bradley Braves0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick2cpaid-63.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Valparaiso Beacons44c3,971$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.11,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bradley Braves56c3,951$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.6230249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bradley Braves51c3,684$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.934943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bradley Braves64c2,804$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.092,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Bradley Braves58c2,174$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.1737947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons38c2,058$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Valparaiso Beacons43c2,010$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.7255840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bradley Braves57c1,285$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.861,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Valparaiso Beacons53c1,275$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.461,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bradley Braves55c1,269$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69837441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Bradley Braves59c1,220$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Valparaiso Beacons40c1,195$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bradley Braves45c1,081$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.373,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bradley Braves28c1,021$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.222,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Bradley Braves59c840$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.637142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bradley Braves45c817.11$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.921,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Valparaiso Beacons42c813.77$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Valparaiso Beacons65c761.87$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8727450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bradley Braves47c694.16$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.022,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Bradley Braves59c610$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.923754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bradley Braves9c593$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.052,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bradley Braves47c517.62$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.581,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Valparaiso Beacons59c506.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.543145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Valparaiso Beacons41c505$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Valparaiso Beacons44c478.16$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.961,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Valparaiso Beacons55c433.38$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.964,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Valparaiso Beacons41c417.83$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.981453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Valparaiso Beacons39c390.62$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.891,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Valparaiso Beacons42c364.46$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.922,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bradley Braves18c363.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4625337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Bradley Braves55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Valparaiso Beacons42c343.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.641,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Bradley Braves50c327.74$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bradley Braves40c300.88$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.791,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Valparaiso Beacons43c300$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Valparaiso Beacons41c292.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8750745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bradley Braves57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked Bradley Braves40c262.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.523426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Valparaiso Beacons41c245$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5513743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Valparaiso Beacons33c239.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.49235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Valparaiso Beacons42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.17454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Valparaiso Beacons43c232.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Valparaiso Beacons43c232.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.554,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bradley Braves55c229.34$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.485,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Valparaiso Beacons41c219.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.22,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Valparaiso Beacons45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Valparaiso Beacons45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11017241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Bradley Braves69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ee…0575backed Valparaiso Beacons45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd5…7330backed Bradley Braves38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Valparaiso Beacons42c126$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0861244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Valparaiso Beacons70c119.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Valparaiso Beacons42c118.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Bradley Braves50c111.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Bradley Braves59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5935646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Valparaiso Beacons54c99.63$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.839153.8%49 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Valparaiso Beacons42c98.65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2218851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Valparaiso Beacons44c97.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1343053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Valparaiso Beacons42c97.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.654643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Valparaiso Beacons42c95.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Bradley Braves59c94.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5623363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bradley Braves65c94.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.331,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Valparaiso Beacons43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.351,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Valparaiso Beacons41c85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1550548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Valparaiso Beacons42c72.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.035752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Valparaiso Beacons41c70.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.391,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377e…f111backed Bradley Braves56c70.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Valparaiso Beacons44c68.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6829954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…e488backed Valparaiso Beacons45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.672755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Valparaiso Beacons67c64.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Bradley Braves59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Valparaiso Beacons59c56.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cfc…7824backed Bradley Braves56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Valparaiso Beacons42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2985248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Bradley Braves60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Valparaiso Beacons47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Valparaiso Beacons42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Valparaiso Beacons30c47.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.971,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Valparaiso Beacons50c44.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.045453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Bradley Braves53c43.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1627055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Valparaiso Beacons41c43.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Valparaiso Beacons42c43.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0812141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Bradley Braves49c40.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d17…32d8backed Valparaiso Beacons74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42564%16 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Bradley Braves45c39.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bradley Braves57c38.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1892246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Bradley Braves47c38.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Bradley Braves56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fd…d641backed Valparaiso Beacons59c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.677663.2%48 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Bradley Braves60c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Bradley Braves57c30.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2612748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Valparaiso Beacons41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.775447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Valparaiso Beacons40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1813565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54e8…c4a9backed Bradley Braves59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Valparaiso Beacons44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.111,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.