Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bba77b4640c8d25c5bd9ea42e47a12b66aa2192b14ef02dfa94ed336411a571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 52c | 10,640$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.25 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 9,791$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Under | 49c | 8,793$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.66 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 2,536$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.7 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 2,497$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.65 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,508$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 1,265$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.43 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,027$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 326$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 52c | 278.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 49c | 204.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…8461backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 147.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 95.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 83.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 82.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 36.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 51c | 31.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 143.5this page
- Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso BeaconsValparaiso Beacons won
- Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 142.5Over won
- Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-1.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-2.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.