Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Bradley Braves (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9ae0f4f0b3e43521427c22793ce9e8ebc8f7280fa5fe74186a048aaed1fa4ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valparaiso Beaconsof Bradley Braves, Valparaiso Beacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 6,000$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.21 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 50c | 5,280$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 2,322$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.81 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 50c | 661.04$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Valparaiso Beacons | 49c | 324$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 238.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 50c | 210.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Valparaiso Beacons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Bradley Braves | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 50c | 192.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Bradley Braves | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…8688backed Bradley Braves | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Valparaiso Beacons | 51c | 60.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Valparaiso Beacons | 50c | 56.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Bradley Braves | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-2.5)this page
- Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso BeaconsValparaiso Beacons won
- Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 142.5Over won
- Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 143.5Over won
- Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-1.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.