Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x012edccbaf30da1d1d3960808399b89f315f785895854213f6231b64045719c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cerundolo | 67c | 49,323$33,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,257.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cerundolo | 47c | 40,286$18,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,327 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cerundolo | 61c | 36,748$22,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,382.95 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cerundolo | 53c | 34,712$18,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,426.33 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Darderi | 48c | 28,518$13,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,722.98 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Darderi | 16c | 25,047$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.51 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…7cf2backed Cerundolo | 72c | 24,898$17,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.07 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Darderi | 22c | 24,191$5,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cerundolo | 47c | 19,951$9,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,668.16 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cerundolo | 71c | 19,730$13,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.42 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Darderi | 72c | 17,169$12,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,362.03 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Cerundolo | 44c | 16,300$7,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,120.73 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cerundolo | 35c | 14,255$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,207.75 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Darderi | 74c | 13,633$10,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,094.36 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Darderi | 37c | 13,491$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.54 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Cerundolo | 29c | 12,885$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,145.65 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Cerundolo | 26c | 9,236$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.69 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed Cerundolo | 31c | 9,000$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,209.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Darderi | 48c | 8,387$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.27 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…b1d5backed Darderi | 55c | 7,562$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Darderi | 57c | 6,442$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.51 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…26bdbacked Darderi | 70c | 6,353$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,447.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cerundolo | 28c | 5,965$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.02 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Darderi | 57c | 5,809$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.49 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Darderi | 69c | 5,670$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.03 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Darderi | 50c | 5,603$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.41 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Cerundolo | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…63d7backed Cerundolo | 70c | 4,976$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cerundolo | 50c | 4,670$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.37 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Darderi | 58c | 3,885$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.36 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Darderi | 42c | 3,788$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.89 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cerundolo | 29c | 3,511$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.89 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Cerundolo | 28c | 3,381$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.83 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Darderi | 75c | 3,196$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Cerundolo | 33c | 3,036$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.36 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Darderi | 54c | 2,760$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.54 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Darderi | 70c | 2,561$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Cerundolo | 60c | 2,511$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.1 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Darderi | 69c | 2,255$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.06 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Darderi | 49c | 2,222$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.33 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Darderi | 71c | 2,189$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.73 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Darderi | 53c | 2,091$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.76 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Darderi | 60c | 2,017$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.32 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Darderi | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Cerundolo | 29c | 1,994$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.42 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Darderi | 52c | 1,843$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Cerundolo | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Darderi | 46c | 1,698$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.56 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Cerundolo | 47c | 1,653$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.04 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Darderi | 46c | 1,557$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.46 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cerundolo | 27c | 1,544$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.93 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Cerundolo | 45c | 1,492$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Darderi | 52c | 1,462$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cerundolo | 28c | 1,436$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.22 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Darderi | 36c | 1,428$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Darderi | 71c | 1,421$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.81 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Darderi | 73c | 1,374$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…2a72backed Darderi | 73c | 1,364$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.51 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Darderi | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.99 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Cerundolo | 32c | 1,167$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.17 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed Darderi | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cerundolo | 28c | 1,119$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.63 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Darderi | 69c | 1,092$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Darderi | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Darderi | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Darderi | 71c | 984.19$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cerundolo | 27c | 960$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.8 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Darderi | 11c | 953.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Darderi | 36c | 929.95$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.92 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Darderi | 49c | 925.77$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.93 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Cerundolo | 32c | 908.89$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.39 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Cerundolo | 33c | 874.58$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.38 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Darderi | 21c | 869.92$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Cerundolo | 30c | 856.28$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.27 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Cerundolo | 59c | 850.51$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.21 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Darderi | 69c | 811.15$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cerundolo | 29c | 785.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.88 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Cerundolo | 55c | 750$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Cerundolo | 27c | 700$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Darderi | 67c | 675.72$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.23 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Cerundolo | 30c | 674$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Darderi | 52c | 672.33$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.96 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Darderi | 71c | 672$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cerundolo | 59c | 652.22$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.65 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Darderi | 55c | 638.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Darderi | 31c | 635.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Cerundolo | 69c | 629.71$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Darderi | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Darderi | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Cerundolo | 6c | 600$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Darderi | 47c | 595.74$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Cerundolo | 44c | 595.63$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Cerundolo | 35c | 591.52$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.17 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Darderi | 47c | 573.29$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Cerundolo | 28c | 563.22$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.9 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Cerundolo | 38c | 562.51$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Darderi | 29c | 550.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cerundolo | 27c | 536.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.73 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Darderi | 70c | 533.51$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Darderi | 42c | 504.45$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs DarderiCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.