Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54a1048a465ee6cbb407e0df9a477bc58d84524807232f013217e1551f05ae61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe423…bff2backed No | 62c | 277,626$171,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,480.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 71,440$27,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,239.85 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 62,393$23,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,897.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 44,528$17,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,183.52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 39,575$14,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,958.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 13,794$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 9,573$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.9 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 80c | 4,021$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.96 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 3,172$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.03 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,075$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.04 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes | 42c | 2,382$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 40c | 2,021$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,754$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 63c | 1,482$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.69 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 38c | 1,350$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 41c | 1,216$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 1,137$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.33 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 3c | 1,048$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 26c | 989.34$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.52 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 11c | 963.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 6c | 700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc027…eb78backed Yes | 37c | 673.01$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 63c | 662.63$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 61c | 614.32$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.05 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 40c | 556.41$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Yes | 7c | 530$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes | 40c | 446.28$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 63c | 444.6$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.6 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 441$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 420$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 39c | 385$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 61c | 362.86$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 316.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 40c | 297$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 11c | 287.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 42c | 261$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed No | 62c | 260$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 63c | 231$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 39c | 180.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 27c | 180.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Yes | 41c | 177.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed No | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 39c | 147$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 65c | 136.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…c4d0backed Yes | 39c | 101.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcc…96d2backed Yes | 40c | 100.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 64c | 97.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 63c | 92.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…81c5backed Yes | 40c | 90.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 62c | 85.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2f…cccebacked No | 63c | 76.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…bcd7backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 39c | 72.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes | 38c | 71.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Yes | 37c | 69.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…45f0backed Yes | 41c | 64.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 68c | 60.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Yes | 39c | 51.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…381ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…df00backed Yes | 39c | 51.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…14b2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…f111backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 38c | 47.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 46.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Yes | 39c | 43.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 39.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Yes | 40c | 37.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 39c | 37.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 36.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 39c | 35.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85fa…abdebacked Yes | 40c | 35.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1356…d4f3backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…6b9ebacked Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…c07bbacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will NEC win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.