Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e78e38b1e7b140d5b12fc87092748ba6e01061f49b21584c6c106129de397dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 2,837$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.37 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,804$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 76c | 2,285$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.95 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 1,944$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.34 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 66c | 1,825$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.5 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 1,154$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.71 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 34c | 1,108$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.66 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 34c | 1,017$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 863.88$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 640.39$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.73 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 60c | 357.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 329$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 32c | 249.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 40c | 242.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 32c | 209.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 65c | 204.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…b091backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 25c | 196.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 63c | 182.23$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 35c | 116.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…349fbacked Yes | 33c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Yes | 32c | 106.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 37c | 100.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 30c | 91.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 62c | 76.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 72.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 61c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Yes | 37c | 61.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 42c | 56.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 67c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Yes | 42c | 42.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…bfa8backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…1ba1backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…e142backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 68c | 36.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 59c | 35.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Yes | 34c | 32.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Yes | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 33c | 29.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 25.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 61c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.