Music · resolved market
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d8b98fb4c290c4e152ce8b653c5598b74a630dd1dbb800a5f328ea9c8b00727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 11,082$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.84 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…74e6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…91bebacked Yes | 4c | 7,338$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…5709backed Yes | 57c | 3,800$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 3,415$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 4c | 3,406$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…be82backed Yes | 6c | 2,707$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,297$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,135$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,107$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 2,096$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 5c | 2,014$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Yes | 4c | 1,334$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Yes | 2c | 1,208$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +509.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 8c | 1,205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…4b4bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,092$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…aa0dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,017$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 66c | 1,006$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked Yes | 5c | 983.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +217.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked Yes | 5c | 978.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +174.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 5c | 933.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 7c | 875.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…a49bbacked Yes | 9c | 865.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 5c | 831$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 5c | 824.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…8e72backed Yes | 5c | 804.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63f…0cd3backed Yes | 7c | 667.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1778…a03dbacked Yes | 7c | 660.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 659.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…50debacked Yes | 6c | 654.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +415.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…10cdbacked Yes | 4c | 642.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff4…12adbacked Yes | 5c | 639.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 6c | 638.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf170…9da7backed Yes | 5c | 632.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…ba6abacked Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 591.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d1…58a1backed Yes | 3c | 579.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 4c | 568.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 39c | 562.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 540.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…45aabacked Yes | 10c | 536.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 4c | 529.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 5c | 516.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…9861backed Yes | 4c | 512.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…90d7backed Yes | 9c | 512.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Yes | 10c | 510.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…a8efbacked Yes | 10c | 510.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 6c | 499.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Yes | 10c | 478.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…6f7bbacked Yes | 6c | 463.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed Yes | 13c | 444.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…4eeabacked Yes | 13c | 429.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 414.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…30dabacked Yes | 6c | 407.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…e426backed Yes | 5c | 393.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…9978backed Yes | 10c | 392.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 3c | 376.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 5c | 342$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 7c | 339.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…38e9backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +318.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…95adbacked Yes | 6c | 307.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…e1d6backed Yes | 5c | 297.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…35cdbacked Yes | 8c | 281.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 4c | 277.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 277.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 4c | 276.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 14c | 255.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…5135backed Yes | 14c | 243.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked Yes | 7c | 202.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…78f8backed Yes | 8c | 202$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…40bfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed Yes | 8c | 191.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 191.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 5c | 188.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…cab2backed Yes | 8c | 187.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +431%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e4…becfbacked Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…922cbacked Yes | 9c | 172.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed Yes | 27c | 150.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 8c | 149.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 7c | 145.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5ca9backed Yes | 15c | 129.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 11c | 113.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…2d2cbacked Yes | 14c | 107.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…9734backed Yes | 13c | 102.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c3…a901backed Yes | 11c | 100.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…33f8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…f111backed Yes | 28c | 74.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…6ebcbacked Yes | 22c | 73.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 74c | 35.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.