Music · resolved market
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd55b7e07b66b1d6702aa8f8c0c761a4f2838b55fa31395676bd0150b9fabb3a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x529f…ffd4backed Yes | 8c | 12,980$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 4,728$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 4c | 3,496$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,406$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 4c | 3,333$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf88…9ee7backed Yes | 9c | 3,188$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 3,154$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,705$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…d2a8backed Yes | 9c | 2,426$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…50debacked Yes | 3c | 2,039$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +415.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4a…1568backed Yes | 6c | 2,014$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,900$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 5c | 1,896$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,858$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e9…8772backed Yes | 7c | 1,590$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…0ae4backed Yes | 5c | 1,569$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…a935backed Yes | 11c | 1,404$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…a101backed Yes | 11c | 1,280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a48…72acbacked Yes | 8c | 1,254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63f…0cd3backed Yes | 6c | 1,236$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,228$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Yes | 8c | 1,202$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked Yes | 4c | 1,141$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +217.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…5763backed Yes | 11c | 1,100$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 7c | 1,084$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…68cfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,076$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95f…f988backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Yes | 2c | 1,056$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +509.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 3c | 999.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 965.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 6c | 920$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…26f2backed Yes | 4c | 918.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 5c | 907$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…9564backed Yes | 3c | 899.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 5c | 866.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 8c | 844.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Yes | 3c | 813.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes | 2c | 799.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…e94bbacked Yes | 8c | 799.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…ddadbacked Yes | 5c | 780.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…8fdbbacked Yes | 5c | 760.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…b22dbacked Yes | 5c | 728.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 726.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 7c | 717.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc734…a2c0backed Yes | 3c | 629.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…a7b3backed Yes | 5c | 623.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…7708backed Yes | 3c | 603.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…4b63backed Yes | 2c | 601.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 6c | 598.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 589.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 588.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…94f2backed Yes | 4c | 565.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…9e1dbacked Yes | 2c | 544.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 535.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1778…a03dbacked Yes | 4c | 515.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 507.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…3d9bbacked Yes | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…79c7backed Yes | 6c | 499.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…30dabacked Yes | 3c | 489$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…22c8backed Yes | 11c | 466$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…2d2cbacked Yes | 5c | 454.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 438.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 5c | 429.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 6c | 411.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…699dbacked Yes | 13c | 398.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…0479backed Yes | 5c | 384$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…1d14backed Yes | 5c | 375.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677b…8f4bbacked Yes | 4c | 374.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 370$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 4c | 341.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 5c | 335.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 5c | 327.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…79adbacked Yes | 4c | 325.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 5c | 323$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed5…2068backed Yes | 6c | 315.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…ae31backed Yes | 6c | 314.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 9c | 313.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…aebebacked Yes | 8c | 307.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5f…b62cbacked Yes | 6c | 299.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…7336backed Yes | 6c | 292.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 6c | 278.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…f345backed Yes | 4c | 261.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…64eebacked Yes | 8c | 247.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 9c | 234.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…09b5backed Yes | 5c | 234.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +318.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 9c | 214.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e4…becfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…ba6abacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…d688backed Yes | 7c | 188.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…924bbacked Yes | 7c | 182$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 6c | 176.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…613fbacked Yes | 8c | 155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 7c | 153.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…694dbacked Yes | 7c | 144$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…4beebacked Yes | 10c | 142.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…cbcbbacked Yes | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.