TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01e1…7b0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST4037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$356.88
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$357.77
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$960.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,763.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+205.6%+$692.68
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$239.59
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$242.45
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$315.51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$165.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$58.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,527.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$810
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+159.1%+$389.18
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54.89
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+36.8%+$157.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.5%+$246.93
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-63.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+52.6%+$159.65
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$151.78
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$607.19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$202.89
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$67.42
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+109.7%+$2,073.1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+154.7%+$155.01
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$222.83
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$193.94
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$218.92
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$538.08
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+216.1%+$56.53
Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.1%+$21.04
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$25.88
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.72
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$140.1
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick7cpaid+217.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.39
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+1,649.1%+$824.57
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.78
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+374.7%+$635.28
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+187.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$489.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.