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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof 3DMAX, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb726…0664backed 3DMAX55c35,611$19,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,66212649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Heroic44c22,702$9,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,71321051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic54c20,835$11,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,537.4783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked 3DMAX33c9,216$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.0522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heroic56c7,963$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,484.483,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Heroic50c5,555$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.511547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked 3DMAX50c5,286$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.8581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ab…f441backed 3DMAX46c5,270$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.92828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic46c4,905$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.871,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Heroic66c4,407$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.4220249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Heroic53c3,015$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.9720539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Heroic72c2,173$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.5541069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked 3DMAX56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX30c1,965$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.665,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked 3DMAX55c1,806$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked 3DMAX27c1,556$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.029038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX44c1,296$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.692,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed 3DMAX25c1,240$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.4292152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed 3DMAX55c1,170$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64810244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX46c1,106$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.767,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Heroic55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked 3DMAX53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed 3DMAX51c899.99$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4598846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Heroic50c816$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40819342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Heroic72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Heroic56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26446545.6%212 W · 253 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX28c600$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.731,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX28c592.52$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.616,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Heroic67c579.71$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.328443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21539851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…dd64backed Heroic64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Heroic57c455$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.653647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked 3DMAX8c425.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.241,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed 3DMAX8c425.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.247828.2%22 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+113.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX46c413.01$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.033,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed 3DMAX39c407.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.542532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked 3DMAX44c379$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2960147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked 3DMAX18c350.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.223531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed 3DMAX47c348.94$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16415249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed 3DMAX46c328.88$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15120942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed 3DMAX40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12078348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed 3DMAX9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Heroic67c253.14$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4631372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed 3DMAX40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX7c217.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.232,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed 3DMAX47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX37c208.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.951,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed 3DMAX46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9247741.7%199 W · 278 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…7df7backed Heroic50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Heroic55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9913657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Heroic66c190.44$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4433457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX34c182.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.644,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX50c176.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.195,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic52c171.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.669863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed 3DMAX46c162.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9416650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed 3DMAX54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.412742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Heroic47c149.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6917745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdaf…02e6backed Heroic71c145.96$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed 3DMAX9c140$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.424440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked 3DMAX46c135$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.111344.2%50 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Heroic46c132.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6284937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed 3DMAX60c126.25$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7619150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c73…0ab2backed 3DMAX40c123.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Heroic73c114.14$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.214161%25 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked 3DMAX48c112.94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.662572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Heroic63c91.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.420462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked 3DMAX45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55650%28 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed 3DMAX56c89.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic41c80.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.95,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c9…d487backed 3DMAX19c66.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Heroic46c63.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5818453.3%98 W · 86 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 3DMAX32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.13,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed 3DMAX41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.663541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc7…613ebacked Heroic55c57.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.998851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 3DMAX21c54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.121,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 3DMAX56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Heroic50c52.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4937448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06ce…c202backed 3DMAX35c50.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.812544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda8…7795backed Heroic49c50.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked 3DMAX27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.570423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 3DMAX26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Heroic55c42.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.449151.6%47 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58c…c102backed Heroic57c42.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Heroic60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6766753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe24…b0acbacked Heroic49c40.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.413444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b6e…70ffbacked Heroic50c40.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX27c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.422,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5de…a312backed 3DMAX54c38.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.93922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-61.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed 3DMAX52c37.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6742845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…8a4bbacked Heroic55c31.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…5b3abacked 3DMAX59c31.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed 3DMAX54c30.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.523161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked 3DMAX44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed 3DMAX42c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.567147.9%34 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Heroic48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c5f…c224backed Heroic50c26.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed 3DMAX46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214547.6%69 W · 76 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked 3DMAX54c22.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9559647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked 3DMAX50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.