CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401e7a53aeae39896dc65318544bad8302d0d5be7121ca6c93d528bfe3d4c4af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 41c | 805.86$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.12 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 65c | 601.27$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 47c | 543.53$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.32 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 45c | 446.69$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…0443backed Over | 37c | 431$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 49c | 430$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.36 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c11…7605backed Under | 42c | 263$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4c…cc45backed Over | 58c | 239$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…0b83backed Over | 58c | 226.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146f…3314backed Under | 42c | 223$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…28c4backed Under | 42c | 215$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bd…57adbacked Over | 58c | 213$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 51.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 36c | 45.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Over | 56c | 44.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over | 49c | 40.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…36f3backed Over | 49c | 39.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 33.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 49c | 28.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 27.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.