TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof FURIA, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1eb0…d25bbacked FURIA19c38,931$7,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,347.7227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons69c12,188$8,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.533,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Team Falcons58c11,444$6,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.9112649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons52c10,497$5,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,078.7975758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked FURIA47c7,670$3,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.8735850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed Team Falcons53c6,775$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.623253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed FURIA52c6,581$3,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4474942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked FURIA32c5,533$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.54037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed FURIA47c5,106$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.8712648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Team Falcons48c5,022$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.7312653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA44c4,673$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.71,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b1…4ec0backed FURIA21c4,400$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked FURIA48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA0c3,707$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.591,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FURIA33c3,699$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.6947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed FURIA3c3,617$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FURIA51c2,918$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50065250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed FURIA46c2,510$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.5527950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FURIA15c2,500$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.131,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Team Falcons79c2,490$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.117061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked FURIA13c2,131$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9614144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96025555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Team Falcons50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.981,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Team Falcons53c1,900$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89375145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed FURIA48c1,655$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.5421055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Falcons66c1,500$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.672,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons67c1,500$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.11,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FURIA12c1,496$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.082,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Team Falcons70c1,400$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4238053.8%43 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed FURIA48c1,288$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61810244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5203…966bbacked FURIA48c1,210$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.894151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked FURIA19c1,200$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9952834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked FURIA5c1,136$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4531933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Team Falcons53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.082853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed FURIA15c1,100$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16447441.6%197 W · 277 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed FURIA48c1,069$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.123060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd604…bd53backed FURIA49c1,026$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d9…025bbacked FURIA5c1,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Falcons58c1,000$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.853,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons51c976.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7497952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Team Falcons52c963.1$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.118049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Team Falcons52c961.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.892378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+37.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons53c942.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9732548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FURIA48c937.99$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.941,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed FURIA2c933.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.125416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed FURIA49c809.04$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025951.4%133 W · 126 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Team Falcons50c772$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38619643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed FURIA22c711$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.351,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c24…0791backed FURIA8c639$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons46c602.77$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.163,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9046345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Team Falcons53c566.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3165662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Team Falcons53c565$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.614532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked FURIA22c552.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.39038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA21c522.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.632,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb08…06acbacked FURIA50c502.4$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.28351.8%43 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Falcons65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.122554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed FURIA46c494.12$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6220440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked FURIA50c486$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2434346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fd…126bbacked FURIA8c460.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…8f90backed FURIA49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+125.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked FURIA12c400$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4769624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed FURIA3c396.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.691127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons65c376.26$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.124,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Team Falcons65c354.38$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc749…e803backed FURIA10c340$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FURIA22c335.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8528344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed FURIA17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked Team Falcons63c278.04$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1211344.2%50 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f6…38cebacked FURIA12c253.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed FURIA13c253.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed FURIA46c248$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0838452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed FURIA48c246.16$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0728046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Team Falcons52c243.24$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2416853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Team Falcons52c228.4$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.634452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons47c222.94$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.951,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed FURIA16c220.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Team Falcons52c220.23$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7110152.5%53 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed FURIA48c214.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1920944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed FURIA8c201.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121,30326.5%345 W · 958 L-89.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA28c201$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.492,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x173d…8091backed FURIA48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ba…66aebacked FURIA11c199.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-77%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed FURIA49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.999748.5%47 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Team Falcons53c196.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2314751%75 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Team Falcons65c193.47$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7222556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37cc…f862backed Team Falcons52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314963.3%31 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked FURIA48c190$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.27149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked FURIA43c179.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.140655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons51c174.51$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5137650.3%189 W · 187 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked FURIA29c174.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017967.6%121 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5056…db7dbacked Team Falcons76c160.53$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.535453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b5…539abacked Team Falcons77c146.52$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.856250%31 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc7…613ebacked Team Falcons52c145.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.848851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Team Falcons51c143.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0819247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abb…493abacked FURIA26c132.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.71450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.