TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1abb…493a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34.7
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked kONO.ECF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+138.1%+$348
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$132.04
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.66
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs ALLINNERS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56%+$14.36
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.8%+$39.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-72.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+82.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$28.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+140.5%+$28.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$985.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.