TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee State Tigers vs. Morehead State Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Morehead State Eaglesof Tennessee State Tigers, Morehead State Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee State Tigers37c6,175$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.345,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Tennessee State Tigers26c2,725$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.0314151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Morehead State Eagles58c2,078$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.851,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Morehead State Eagles75c2,038$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tennessee State Tigers37c1,663$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.542,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Morehead State Eagles65c1,167$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.323,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tennessee State Tigers68c764.85$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5209771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Morehead State Eagles65c719.99$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.861,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Morehead State Eagles47c489.3$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3381453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Morehead State Eagles67c434$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1649747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Tennessee State Tigers4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154238.1%16 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tennessee State Tigers30c298.36$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.271,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Morehead State Eagles59c244.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.142,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tennessee State Tigers5c233.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.652,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Morehead State Eagles64c232.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.843,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Tennessee State Tigers53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Morehead State Eagles48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Tennessee State Tigers52c190.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9537947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Tennessee State Tigers63c189.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abb…493abacked Morehead State Eagles63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Morehead State Eagles64c146.42$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tennessee State Tigers37c125.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.611,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tennessee State Tigers34c112.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked Morehead State Eagles77c110.39$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.391687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Morehead State Eagles47c100.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Morehead State Eagles48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Tennessee State Tigers33c89.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.891,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tennessee State Tigers51c88.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.632,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Tennessee State Tigers31c61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.939742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Morehead State Eagles34c59.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tennessee State Tigers33c55.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.321,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Morehead State Eagles49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.271,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Tennessee State Tigers53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Morehead State Eagles47c49.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Tennessee State Tigers52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Tennessee State Tigers55c45.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255832.8%19 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tennessee State Tigers34c45.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.461,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Tennessee State Tigers34c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9222730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Tennessee State Tigers53c36.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Morehead State Eagles60c34.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.711,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee State Tigers36c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Tennessee State Tigers53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Morehead State Eagles56c29.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.931,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa22f…604cbacked Morehead State Eagles70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.574070%28 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Morehead State Eagles48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Morehead State Eagles47c21.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2917634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Tennessee State Tigers53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fc…314dbacked Morehead State Eagles57c20.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.815947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Morehead State Eagles64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.235650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Morehead State Eagles74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.210095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.