CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b348e3ea9dc1e5bc3ac65fd68f0ca8768aa693e06483925cd01b2b5d42b55d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, Nexus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed ASTRAL | 36c | 7,471$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,748.2 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nexus | 58c | 5,663$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.63 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked ASTRAL | 43c | 3,779$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.69 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ASTRAL | 47c | 3,286$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.85 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed Nexus | 60c | 3,034$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.06 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Nexus | 54c | 2,140$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.1 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Nexus | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.98 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nexus | 57c | 1,356$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ASTRAL | 44c | 1,351$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.84 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Nexus | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nexus | 52c | 981.67$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Nexus | 48c | 903.5$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.82 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…6511backed ASTRAL | 47c | 902.96$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Nexus | 57c | 799.99$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.99 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked ASTRAL | 47c | 780.24$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.51 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed ASTRAL | 43c | 776$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.22 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 38c | 750.89$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked ASTRAL | 40c | 730$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nexus | 65c | 657$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.81 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed ASTRAL | 40c | 627$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Nexus | 68c | 600$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 549$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Nexus | 59c | 535.28$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ASTRAL | 54c | 503$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nexus | 69c | 459.48$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.37 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ASTRAL | 41c | 411.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.1 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…a3cabacked ASTRAL | 40c | 377.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked ASTRAL | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed ASTRAL | 72c | 309.88$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed ASTRAL | 40c | 308$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed ASTRAL | 46c | 294$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 223.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked ASTRAL | 35c | 222$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…0991backed ASTRAL | 43c | 222$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Nexus | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ASTRAL | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked Nexus | 55c | 197.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked ASTRAL | 42c | 160.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed ASTRAL | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3584…e59dbacked Nexus | 56c | 152.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked ASTRAL | 44c | 150.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…493abacked ASTRAL | 70c | 132.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ASTRAL | 40c | 119.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…6c83backed Nexus | 61c | 118.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Nexus | 60c | 110.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed ASTRAL | 43c | 108.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked ASTRAL | 54c | 106.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked ASTRAL | 53c | 104.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed ASTRAL | 30c | 101.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nexus | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…a700backed ASTRAL | 22c | 99.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Nexus | 66c | 87.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed ASTRAL | 34c | 84.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Nexus | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8bfcbacked Nexus | 76c | 79.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed ASTRAL | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed ASTRAL | 34c | 73.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked ASTRAL | 43c | 66.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…49c0backed Nexus | 61c | 65.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed ASTRAL | 48c | 64.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ASTRAL | 43c | 62.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ASTRAL | 48c | 62.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…0b32backed ASTRAL | 49c | 61.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed ASTRAL | 30c | 60.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…808dbacked Nexus | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7a…b49fbacked Nexus | 72c | 55.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…b5aabacked ASTRAL | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed ASTRAL | 29c | 49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed ASTRAL | 38c | 47.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Nexus | 69c | 44.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed ASTRAL | 33c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Nexus | 54c | 36.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5efa…5cacbacked ASTRAL | 36c | 35.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nexus | 39c | 35.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Nexus | 69c | 33.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Nexus | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…9f03backed ASTRAL | 64c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Nexus | 68c | 30.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Nexus | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc1…a1e6backed ASTRAL | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Nexus | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…091abacked Nexus | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Nexus | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Nexus | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…8d47backed Nexus | 58c | 22.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed ASTRAL | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…e2d8backed Nexus | 74c | 19.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Nexus | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Nexus | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Nexus - Map 1 WinnerNexus won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Nexus - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.