Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e7d3c9324aef3d8bb62a790d7f7d8526284b2bb84b9bd8c2dbfde866fa43cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Heretics, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 690$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Heretics | 47c | 606.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.91 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Heretics | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…b8eabacked Team Heretics | 6c | 411.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Liquid | 72c | 246.95$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics | 47c | 235.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 220.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed Team Heretics | 43c | 214.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Heretics | 60c | 202.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Heretics | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Team Heretics | 60c | 167.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Heretics | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Team Liquid | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed Team Liquid | 69c | 90.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed Team Heretics | 31c | 76.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 74.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…493abacked Team Liquid | 42c | 48.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Team Heretics | 60c | 46.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Team Heretics | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Heretics | 33c | 39.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Liquid | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.