Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd64371204eded5ac0fc883e98116f72c79ac0ae17626dcce96d2d4fef1a387c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Heretics, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…3418backed Team Heretics | 50c | 6,411$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…991fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 5,306$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…c21bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 4,804$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…119bbacked Team Heretics | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Team Heretics | 64c | 2,112$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.18 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics | 52c | 1,989$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.23 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,523$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.87 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,438$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics | 35c | 1,282$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.13 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 36c | 1,216$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.25 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9624…fee8backed Team Heretics | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed Team Liquid | 44c | 793.67$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 729$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.97 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid | 75c | 443.16$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Team Heretics | 52c | 381.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Heretics | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Heretics | 76c | 288.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Heretics | 71c | 197.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Team Heretics | 53c | 188.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics | 61c | 180.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed Team Liquid | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 150.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Team Heretics | 52c | 144.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 128.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Team Liquid | 79c | 125.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed Team Liquid | 34c | 117.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Liquid | 34c | 116$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…efd9backed Team Liquid | 73c | 88.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Heretics | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…b8eabacked Team Heretics | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Team Liquid | 42c | 66.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…49c0backed Team Heretics | 55c | 57.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Heretics | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 42.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 49c | 38.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Team Heretics | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Heretics | 54c | 27.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Team Liquid | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Team Liquid | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.