Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a0d3bff31ded995466c43c31e0cb398fdfad36a907607e8f2898809ab1cdd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb53b…2178backed Over | 49c | 7,261$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…e0b2backed Under | 51c | 3,925$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c7…f8e6backed Under | 51c | 3,259$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…6a73backed Under | 51c | 3,034$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa023…ad29backed Over | 49c | 2,957$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Over | 52c | 65.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 46c | 51.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Over | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Under | 50c | 35.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…97f1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.