TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb726…0664backed B831c51,049$15,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,819.2512649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed TheMongolz51c22,820$11,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,240.7133043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed TheMongolz68c13,460$9,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.5121051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz51c5,138$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed TheMongolz50c4,712$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.9926046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz55c2,916$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.942,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ab…f441backed TheMongolz50c2,900$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4482828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz68c2,645$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.8381751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked B847c2,619$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.992,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked B838c2,605$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz65c2,253$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.733,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked TheMongolz55c2,000$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91036245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B848c1,740$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.1181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked B846c1,418$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.291,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked B847c1,319$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.535650%28 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed B820c1,300$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.221,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked TheMongolz47c1,225$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.592661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd65…64bcbacked TheMongolz78c1,096$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+54.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz69c1,061$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked B848c1,043$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed TheMongolz75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25038868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc537…f385backed B81c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10340%0 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed B838c999$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1758961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked B846c968.04$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed B835c955$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.9519949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed B843c916.28$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39427950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked TheMongolz46c900$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4865655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed TheMongolz74c868.07$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.422,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked B845c795.55$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35844957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed TheMongolz60c750$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.292152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…7df7backed B821c715.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.732941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b4…2a97backed TheMongolz66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdaf…02e6backed TheMongolz76c656.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed B846c652.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed TheMongolz47c640$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.439851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed B837c626.09$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2655043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked TheMongolz75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1213657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed TheMongolz70c588.55$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2817345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb0…c133backed B838c578.16$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed B812c560$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.29723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz67c546.23$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.192,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked B826c520.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.635341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B839c512.96$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.115,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed B835c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed B840c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B853c497.24$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.267,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed B836c490.52$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.782532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz66c396.37$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.63,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed TheMongolz54c372.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked TheMongolz74c362.65$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.455738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed B827c344.78$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.094,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz64c343.44$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.941,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz70c325.84$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.384,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed TheMongolz48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.583543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked TheMongolz76c310.53$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5328443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed TheMongolz61c301.21$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4569863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed B830c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed B832c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9626451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked B841c286.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1831933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed TheMongolz75c270$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.43167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b5f…1c63backed TheMongolz80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-79.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed B838c248.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.371,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed B824c232.93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5622843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed TheMongolz78c221.79$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7978348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B829c221.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed B847c213.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed B845c210.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6312742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.642,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed TheMongolz52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed B837c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7431444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked TheMongolz69c197.26$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.769038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked TheMongolz54c196.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.479151.6%47 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked TheMongolz72c187.41$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.712572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked TheMongolz76c184.13$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1945162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa555…d816backed TheMongolz78c182.69$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed TheMongolz58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4116650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed B842c169.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7226624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed B828c164.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.17425.7%19 W · 55 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed TheMongolz66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5220942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked B854c150.8$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.433647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed B845c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.427735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked TheMongolz47c145.36$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6461754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2af…28c3backed TheMongolz78c145.34$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…89d0backed TheMongolz65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed TheMongolz71c139.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.711,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed TheMongolz49c130.61$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6115162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed B845c128.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6155236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed B831c124.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.863541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ce…c202backed B823c120.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.592544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed B843c112.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910632.1%34 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed TheMongolz58c112.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2833456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed B846c108.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf002…275ebacked TheMongolz56c108.25$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.214047.5%19 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked TheMongolz69c102.16$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1644641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked TheMongolz57c100.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0623646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed TheMongolz48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed TheMongolz75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1522761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed B854c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411456.1%64 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked B857c94.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.889941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.