CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d81fdf251adba8100805828d1a3f58fd28df372105d8f0162cde127c2c3e33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of TheMongolz, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed B8 | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed TheMongolz | 37c | 3,246$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.22 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed TheMongolz | 37c | 3,025$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.02 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 704.53$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked TheMongolz | 41c | 565.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.61 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B8 | 63c | 365.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed TheMongolz | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked B8 | 66c | 199.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed B8 | 63c | 193.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed TheMongolz | 36c | 159.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked B8 | 61c | 122$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed B8 | 14c | 108.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed B8 | 59c | 106.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed B8 | 69c | 103.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 75.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked B8 | 63c | 52.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked TheMongolz | 58c | 38.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 34.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed B8 | 70c | 34.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked B8 | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.