CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078a13ebd4cf0473ddc6d16ad5dc090ee8d917c618d1f7c75683dc18f7d6eefd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 19c | 516.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 28c | 510.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 8c | 424.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 24c | 376.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 56c | 338.72$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 19c | 241.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 216.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 48c | 208.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…2530backed Over | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 19c | 89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…7114backed Under | 35c | 88.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…a56fbacked Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a5…7375backed Under | 61c | 49.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Over | 51c | 35.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…0687backed Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 34.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Over | 78c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.