CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82e6a7189eff91910e4970a251e380ada147ca4ca965c3eba17876b5e8cce89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof FORZE Reload, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Omega | 64c | 1,471$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.12 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 1,469$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.58 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Omega | 67c | 1,066$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.46 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Omega | 46c | 1,037$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FORZE Reload | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Omega | 60c | 645.69$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.13 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 61c | 302$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Omega | 70c | 240$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf91…3041backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked FORZE Reload | 15c | 137.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 108.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Omega | 69c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Omega | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FORZE Reload | 28c | 70.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Omega | 74c | 67.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…0b32backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…493abacked FORZE Reload | 39c | 65.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Omega | 61c | 52.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 46.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FORZE Reload | 33c | 43.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Omega | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2978backed Omega | 61c | 32.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 71cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…d674backed Omega | 72c | 29.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…c8f4backed Omega | 71c | 28.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…2bf8backed Omega | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerOmega won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerOmega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.