TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cb0…3c1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+99%+$485.11
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$586.39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$849.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,338.13
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$996.25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$498.04
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$498.05
Will The MongolZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$402.05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$996.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$351.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+99.7%+$1,127.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$433.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$667.71
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$850.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+150.8%+$750.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+76%+$532.18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+110.7%+$332.07
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+226.3%+$678.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+86.7%+$863.6
Noah FA vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$299.03
Noah FA vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$996.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Houston Cougars vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$787.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,993Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+101.9%+$2,030.74
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$407.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$159
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,216
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$185
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$498.05
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$498.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$996
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.