Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f3aa592fb0fd4ddb2c60a407eca9b6b4344e9c66bbe6faa4dbc68716bb36b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 12,314$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.45 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed No | 80c | 10,360$8,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 80c | 8,658$6,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 8,417$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 8,359$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.13 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 20c | 5,009$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.85 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 80c | 3,730$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed No | 64c | 2,914$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.05 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 57c | 2,350$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked No | 56c | 1,202$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,106$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked No | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…cdc2backed No | 80c | 841.25$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 18c | 670$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 659$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 535.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 20c | 511.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 394.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 379.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 22c | 285.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0200…21f2backed No | 61c | 273.77$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…41a8backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 21c | 176.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 139.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…8a4abacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 18c | 111.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 18c | 106$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed No | 79c | 103.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…7a41backed No | 63c | 98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 97.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 85.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…90fcbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…9994backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 57.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 20c | 55.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9594…7979backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd117…96edbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…fc19backed Yes | 21c | 49.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 57c | 43.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked No | 56c | 33.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…b7f6backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…0857backed No | 80c | 30.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…cdf1backed No | 80c | 18.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed No | 79c | 17.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…625fbacked No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. PSV end in a draw?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.