Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen vs. PSV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04b9a3ea558298a7e91cb0db834f245d9665abeea1b686e990c6c74e9520717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 3,120$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 17c | 1,560$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,228$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 16c | 1,180$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,130$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 47c | 1,107$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.03 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 821.99$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 574.4$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 78c | 540$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 74c | 364.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 21c | 290.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 47c | 253.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 240.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 48c | 207.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 48c | 206.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 184.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 30c | 169.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 163.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 72c | 159.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 21c | 154.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 29c | 147$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 33c | 91.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 41c | 82.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 31c | 76.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…841dbacked Yes | 27c | 63.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 22c | 61.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 54.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 57c | 46.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 79c | 39.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen vs. PSV end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.