Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-02-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f0ae539f5f280d7f9d910ae3e5207034caa0ac15518bb473cc5277a870f8617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Yes | 24c | 4,113$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 2,366$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,174$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 2,112$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.32 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,785$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.29 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 25c | 1,027$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 541.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked No | 78c | 513.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 77c | 466.17$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 318.37$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 17c | 299.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 181.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 25c | 160.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 115.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 90.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 79c | 86.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…7286backed Yes | 23c | 84.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 75.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Yes | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 39.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…249bbacked No | 76c | 28.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…941ebacked No | 80c | 28.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…51f0backed No | 77c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…e0b4backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…22b0backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-02-23?this page
- Will Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-02-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.