TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$919,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,024,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $919,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under51c503,546$255,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255,723.593930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Over49c220,000$107,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,2003946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over49c104,862$51,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,479.624846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over51c103,262$52,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,105.575246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c82,883$40,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,439.4419253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…ccdbbacked Over49c78,615$38,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,807.691741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c48,984$21,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,904.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under50c34,991$17,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,495.641947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over50c21,386$10,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,634.7185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c17,184$8,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,579.972,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c14,135$6,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,926.0425551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1005949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80018948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c9,984$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,784.128851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c9,980$5,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,890.3919239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4302646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ea…0637backed Over50c6,560$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under49c6,500$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18513444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over52c5,450$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.193953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over49c5,398$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.882250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over52c4,941$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.6830143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over41c4,600$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7145527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over46c4,554$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.1350644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Over50c4,023$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5716753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under59c3,702$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.2819652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Under54c3,689$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over49c3,333$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.8318259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6201353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+47.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over78c2,633$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.2130645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c2,455$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.474,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over49c1,996$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.967252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over51c1,960$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.38448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under55c1,891$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.74235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,881$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.8952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Under50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over77c1,319$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.1846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c1,240$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.5751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c1,230$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.6830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over50c1,169$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.56850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under15c1,123$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over53c1,019$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.233231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over51c1,016$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.699053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+51.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.394755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.396041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.399153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under40c973.35$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.881,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over52c933$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.8413565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over50c798.4$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.24850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3509150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Under15c660$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over51c618.74$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.397343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under33c592.43$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9943241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over51c587.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.75350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over51c528.77$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7313327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd617…335ebacked Under54c528.4$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Over51c524.88$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…d45ebacked Over50c502.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.212250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25010847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over52c500$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2395650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over52c480.87$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8735428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c471.76$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.081,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under19c465.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.518858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over66c448.77$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.694327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over50c432$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2168643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ce…5310backed Over49c428.06$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.041457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.12259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under48c388.25$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.369556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6214544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.377149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over42c365.97$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5224044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over41c317.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0728633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over48c316.83$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.835145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14410533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1220644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under50c293.22$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.619749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Under54c274.94$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5810…ae81backed Over52c255.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over53c249.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.59444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Under17c246.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.463253.1%17 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under49c246$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.544942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over51c245.78$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4316357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over49c232.45$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.