Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780a25526d1d0b9e58c485be3680b9b9160833c290485966d455fc160b7a662e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,599.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 60,287$28,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,156.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 61c | 24,877$15,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,077.33 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 30c | 8,335$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.78 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 78c | 6,750$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.07 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 25c | 5,480$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 74c | 4,832$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.93 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 4,799$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.06 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Over | 30c | 4,530$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 71c | 4,380$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 76c | 3,569$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.42 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 30c | 2,855$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.87 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 51c | 2,708$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.91 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Over | 65c | 2,469$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.91 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 70c | 2,200$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 30c | 1,847$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 1,607$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.41 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 32c | 1,479$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.07 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 32c | 1,349$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.06 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 79c | 1,348$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.04 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 29c | 1,321$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.82 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 30c | 1,250$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.27 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 70c | 1,213$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.54 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 1,084$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.59 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 74c | 1,078$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Under | 7c | 1,039$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 25c | 990.88$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.47 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 76c | 961.05$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…6322backed Under | 53c | 856.45$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 29c | 696.29$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.13 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 70c | 693.77$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 30c | 620$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…0e31backed Under | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 30c | 555$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 30c | 550.77$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 66c | 550$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 31c | 527.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.83 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 76c | 505.75$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 48c | 499.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.97 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Over | 30c | 466.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under | 48c | 415.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9d…3fe1backed Over | 31c | 414.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 4c | 395.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 49c | 382.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 359.56$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 352$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 351.58$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 29c | 342$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 36c | 324.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 49c | 302.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 76c | 295.33$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 290.04$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 288.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.18 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 78c | 278.96$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 49c | 269.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 75c | 268.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 34c | 260.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 63c | 240.03$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Over | 48c | 218.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 25c | 200.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 29c | 196.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 49c | 191.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.73 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Over | 74c | 185.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 37c | 173.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +9.9wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 80c | 168.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…eb6ebacked Over | 30c | 163.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Over | 48c | 148.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 20c | 143.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 39c | 141$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…9901backed Under | 69c | 140.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf128…053bbacked Under | 44c | 138.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…dff8backed Under | 69c | 138.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 29c | 138$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…09bdbacked Under | 69c | 136.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 32c | 133.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 29c | 124.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 28c | 119.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 151 | 37.7%57 W · 94 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 409 | 42.1%172 W · 237 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 51c | 112.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Under | 39c | 107.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.