TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c15,504$8,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,846.136,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over64c9,132$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.623953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c5,104$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.934,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over29c4,499$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.1345936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under57c3,712$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under22c3,556$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.3296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over58c3,085$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.7216753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.951353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+47.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over24c2,078$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.965527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under58c1,754$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.1746943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over12c1,700$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.9935134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under35c1,250$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.084434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over15c1,249$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.5613327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over52c1,189$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.0230645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under36c1,012$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.62,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over14c893$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.9851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under75c700$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1beb…746bbacked Over15c689.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over13c646.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.4385748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51a8…0e31backed Under68c588.14$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Under51c585.08$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over71c564.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9735347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Over67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002580%20 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+43%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over71c467.16$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1615263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Over16c431.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over52c422.56$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over70c417.45$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.248158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over57c399.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.53868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over57c349.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.256446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over40c342.5$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.52045%9 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under59c338.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over46c317.39$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.396041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under49c316$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.033727%10 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Over62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1146829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.124654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over64c285.53$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over56c255.59$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6337554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over16c250$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2105334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over14c249.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.991,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c243.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.581,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648b…8c77backed Under41c243.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under78c242$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+74.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under77c242$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.343644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b9…cea8backed Over72c210.44$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.08475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over50c200.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.522619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16810533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.47252.8%38 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Under67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1344252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over23c191$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0729343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over37c187.13$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.135145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Under64c180.45$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.49966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over59c178.37$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8db0…64ebbacked Under64c170$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over28c169.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3419244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.738867%59 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over53c156$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc960…00c8backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…24a6backed Under34c147.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over71c145.64$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9215060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7023…b538backed Over14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under57c142$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8920956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over51c140.23$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8713842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d93…d870backed Under78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Under32c127.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.911050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under19c124.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0142658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over42c120.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4310244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over15c117.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9935328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe58b…d323backed Over41c116.12$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.821850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under78c116$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.48966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over29c110.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.043633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over56c110.84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2720143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.119235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Over15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb30a…7fc3backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x380e…5f39backed Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6040942.1%172 W · 237 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Over15c99.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.941947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over13c99.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2128633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under52c98.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6725348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over27c97.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6119455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.494327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7520644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over53c88.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9925553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over15c88.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7516357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7220336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292f…918dbacked Under78c85.51$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e43…c607backed Over63c85.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503976.9%30 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.