TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c25,112$6,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,202.716,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ed…d6b5backed Over74c7,351$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c4,615$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.882,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over76c4,258$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.0530143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Over76c4,100$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841675%12 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over75c2,400$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under26c2,313$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.354,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over77c1,966$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.1813565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under23c1,900$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.74156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-20.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Over78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.056746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under23c1,255$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over76c1,203$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over72c1,200$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.493868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Over77c1,062$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.347759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1034…ae8ebacked Over76c977.63$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over77c909.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.091947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over74c898.07$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.55058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over76c871.93$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.266553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over76c859.37$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.252653.8%14 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0515…64cdbacked Over77c853.25$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.25875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over77c748.14$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.144755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over79c699.65$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.031,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c685$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9515263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over77c649.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.849154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over78c641.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.094271.4%30 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under24c597.53$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4121049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under27c506.22$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.12,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1155757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Over77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1810962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under24c494.02$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.891,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…34d1backed Over71c469.08$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over76c440.57$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.164955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Over78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8810874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over77c399.94$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.994170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.619451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8280…e451backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61520%1 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick71cpaid-74%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd700…7310backed Over77c325.97$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.684362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Over77c320.48$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.712259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Under35c287.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over71c281.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.976454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under27c280.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4746943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over75c272.68$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Over75c264.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.91988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over76c264$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.367358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.744757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over75c254.29$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.092475%18 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Over66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over75c225.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.979067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over77c215$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.451080%8 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505334%18 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca70…85debacked Over76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over77c194.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8718265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under25c174.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.484650%23 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over76c156.8$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d59…f80dbacked Over65c152.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.411464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over66c151.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.512152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under25c138.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7416357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9928654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Over75c134$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.58847.7%42 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Over77c133.78$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.773265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over75c132$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3312060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5817053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under24c131.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.581,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under24c130.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.213122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa695…c8a4backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f0…0556backed Over76c124.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under25c107.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2774056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Over77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.96245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Over77c101.75$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.44748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb992…0838backed Over76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under24c97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4617244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…847cbacked Over76c86.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abc…509cbacked Under24c83.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+93.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over74c82.55$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4613327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d43…cecdbacked Over74c80.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe473…755abacked Over77c80.52$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Over75c73.53$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234e…fa88backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.437853.8%42 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over76c66.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.871957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea1…df66backed Over75c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.351283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9425057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedad…ed92backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941850%9 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a94…b06bbacked Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca5…3af6backed Over77c64.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2931747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under25c59.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7513152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over72c58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2496445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under28c57.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1110044%44 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.