TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over37c250,043$92,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,473.8439249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under63c215,020$135,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,707.4721051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under63c15,300$9,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6641752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed Over38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7006752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e19…7d36backed Under63c13,496$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,995.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8501181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8005947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1765…17febacked Under63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.62748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under63c2,751$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.7923952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c2,725$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.543,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under60c2,603$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.9883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over34c2,498$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.879256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under66c2,274$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.484548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Under62c2,219$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.1227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5558944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over43c1,392$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.333,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over44c1,350$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.934,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over38c1,258$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6816853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Over39c1,030$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.054346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over8c852.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4429127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under63c784.13$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.133948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under61c740.26$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.671,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over37c711.38$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9810053%53 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0c…bca8backed Over39c664.82$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over38c642.47$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1420440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under61c577.54$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.247055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6094…e860backed Under63c555.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under62c499.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9917954.2%97 W · 82 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over24c461.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Over36c381.81$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over46c371.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.952,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc68d…2fe8backed Under64c355.56$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1285129.4%15 W · 36 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Over22c345.32$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3298052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347a…a1c0backed Over39c335.62$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.891827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over27c319.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8339237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11414454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over31c266.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.591,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over36c265$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.490%0 W · 9 L-4.9wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over40c250.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Under64c234.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.630062.3%187 W · 113 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under51c219.73$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.311,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Under63c213.48$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9919747.2%93 W · 104 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under63c211.25$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1616444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under67c200.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0326336.5%96 W · 167 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Under63c190.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0abe…ad59backed Over20c180.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+67.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over40c164.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f6…a17fbacked Over7c148.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b8…21e8backed Under69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x666d…03d1backed Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502540%10 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over53c134.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7113748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over37c133.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.68444%37 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2f…2318backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94b5…36adbacked Over36c121.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over34c114.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0125337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Over37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2219…6da9backed Over39c102.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under74c101.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2610849.1%53 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3225941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67e…b892backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…5947backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6ac0backed Over25c98.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.759252.2%48 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over38c92.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1431735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over54c92.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over39c91.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8514654.8%80 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under75c86.08$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1545956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb388…dc58backed Under63c85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.452955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Over43c82.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7325…0574backed Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe94a…8e6ebacked Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5318…08a8backed Under63c80.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.94850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Over38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.482146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba5…2591backed Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Over56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed Over34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under70c67.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1869863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under62c60.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0346243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8760…7dd5backed Over32c59.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6e…77ddbacked Over36c59.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.492842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Over26c53.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.945561.8%34 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Under59c50.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.777651.3%39 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef07…5bd2backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107744.2%34 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Under62c40.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.262250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a34…e379backed Under66c38.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.035563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under67c37.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4319850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.72,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd9f…a400backed Under66c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3c2…6d84backed Under66c30.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-48.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05b0…df5abacked Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…540cbacked Over36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.