CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3863f055fada334fd34dcde67947583625633e96d77c229c30d9b62f751ef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked TheMongolz | 21c | 144,437$29,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,990.97 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…5591backed Vitality | 79c | 35,905$28,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,540.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 25,933$6,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,857.84 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 72c | 21,650$15,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,013.85 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Vitality | 79c | 20,490$16,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.9 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality | 79c | 16,313$12,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.75 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vitality | 78c | 15,306$11,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.38 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked TheMongolz | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 79c | 12,418$9,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.72 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Vitality | 77c | 10,208$7,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.3 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked TheMongolz | 11c | 8,173$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.55 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed TheMongolz | 21c | 7,939$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.59 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked TheMongolz | 20c | 7,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed TheMongolz | 11c | 6,645$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.68 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Vitality | 77c | 6,520$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.14 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked TheMongolz | 2c | 6,403$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked TheMongolz | 10c | 6,118$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked TheMongolz | 0c | 6,051$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Vitality | 79c | 5,927$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.67 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed TheMongolz | 21c | 5,730$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.1 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Vitality | 78c | 5,325$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.05 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed TheMongolz | 1c | 5,195$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed TheMongolz | 21c | 4,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.9 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Vitality | 69c | 4,447$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.73 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 79c | 4,317$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.85 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Vitality | 79c | 4,261$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.82 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed TheMongolz | 25c | 4,180$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bf…ebbcbacked TheMongolz | 10c | 3,926$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 78c | 3,819$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.81 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…e59abacked TheMongolz | 14c | 3,731$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Vitality | 79c | 3,164$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.48 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked Vitality | 79c | 3,075$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked TheMongolz | 20c | 3,000$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 79c | 2,600$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed TheMongolz | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Vitality | 72c | 2,500$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.61 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz | 23c | 2,268$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 22c | 2,250$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed TheMongolz | 19c | 2,102$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.35 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed TheMongolz | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed TheMongolz | 23c | 1,741$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 23c | 1,731$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed TheMongolz | 18c | 1,703$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz | 17c | 1,638$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.27 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Vitality | 78c | 1,514$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.19 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Vitality | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Vitality | 80c | 1,413$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.6 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Vitality | 80c | 1,389$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked TheMongolz | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed TheMongolz | 4c | 1,201$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Vitality | 78c | 1,140$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.75 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…df59backed TheMongolz | 7c | 1,124$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Vitality | 79c | 1,059$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.49 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality | 79c | 1,038$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…7fc3backed Vitality | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Vitality | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Vitality | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Vitality | 80c | 975$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…e29fbacked TheMongolz | 14c | 938.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed Vitality | 76c | 935.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 114 | 70.2%80 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed TheMongolz | 4c | 919.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vitality | 79c | 901.27$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked TheMongolz | 22c | 897.05$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed TheMongolz | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked TheMongolz | 15c | 836.03$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked TheMongolz | 8c | 785.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed TheMongolz | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…3377backed Vitality | 80c | 731.84$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Vitality | 73c | 717$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Vitality | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…ce61backed Vitality | 65c | 699.99$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked TheMongolz | 22c | 687.45$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Vitality | 71c | 667$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a877backed Vitality | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked TheMongolz | 21c | 620.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Vitality | 61c | 606.56$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Vitality | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Vitality | 66c | 599.98$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Vitality | 74c | 584.42$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.42 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Vitality | 79c | 548.84$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality | 78c | 543.14$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed TheMongolz | 36c | 538.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 79c | 510.63$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality | 78c | 509.09$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked TheMongolz | 21c | 504$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Vitality | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Vitality | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Vitality | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed TheMongolz | 20c | 477.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed TheMongolz | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked Vitality | 80c | 459.36$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Vitality | 71c | 453.16$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…1ff3backed Vitality | 77c | 441.85$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked TheMongolz | 20c | 437.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Vitality | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vitality | 66c | 428$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.