TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccb2…8586backed TheMongolz44c25,123$11,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,054.173961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz44c10,713$4,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,662.9210935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Vitality56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4006555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed TheMongolz43c6,741$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.526634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Vitality57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1502045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Vitality55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Vitality57c4,363$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.037842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e19…7d36backed Vitality56c4,047$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Vitality56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7605947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked TheMongolz45c3,754$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.1814144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Vitality56c3,184$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.0317148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1765…17febacked Vitality56c2,625$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1552748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Vitality58c2,438$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.8111046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz28c1,941$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.3561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Vitality57c1,845$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.3783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Vitality56c1,754$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.935565.5%36 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz40c1,514$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.3485446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Vitality56c1,419$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.4826952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked TheMongolz10c1,176$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed TheMongolz44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked TheMongolz58c1,098$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.97652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz42c1,020$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.41,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality56c1,010$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.3936245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Vitality56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Vitality56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44031933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Vitality56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc68d…2fe8backed Vitality58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205129.4%15 W · 36 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked TheMongolz40c972.4$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9623932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed TheMongolz33c970.16$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.920440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Vitality56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.862259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed TheMongolz43c770$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.155236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitality57c735.71$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.951,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Vitality72c690$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.252750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Vitality55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3623952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed Vitality56c608$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.525347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Vitality60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0942057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked TheMongolz39c595.95$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4210345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Vitality61c574.59$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.597061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked TheMongolz43c568$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2413657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Vitality59c513.76$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.729550.5%48 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebc…c639backed TheMongolz43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002536%9 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Vitality73c448.9$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3117042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Vitality56c428.57$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.573066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Vitality59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16431444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality56c399.98$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Vitality55c358.61$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6144244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Vitality56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.149548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz41c341.36$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.961,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Vitality59c339.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0522554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz45c337.78$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15254732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Vitality9c313.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4720251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed TheMongolz44c306.82$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13528541.1%117 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3273…0c24backed Vitality56c304$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x323b…6ed9backed Vitality75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Vitality57c297$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7116250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed TheMongolz37c272.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a44…8465backed Vitality56c266.07$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.072751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e9…09f6backed TheMongolz43c253.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed TheMongolz28c247.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.174839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Vitality72c244.77$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5434943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked TheMongolz42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007138%27 W · 44 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked TheMongolz43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008356.6%47 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed TheMongolz45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c8…0267backed TheMongolz45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Vitality72c220.83$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8320952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Vitality56c213.63$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9937448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Vitality70c186.76$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7624346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Vitality57c169.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.127735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…2236backed TheMongolz45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed TheMongolz45c164.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8133352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3ae9backed Vitality61c162$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x210e…d188backed TheMongolz42c138.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93cf…29d1backed TheMongolz43c125.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.125754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked TheMongolz44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Vitality40c124$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.48958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed TheMongolz45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Vitality56c108.73$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.842969%20 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed TheMongolz44c102.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511834.7%41 W · 77 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b5…539abacked TheMongolz43c102.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446250%31 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b27…7bfdbacked Vitality72c98.31$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Vitality72c97.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2266753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality64c93.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1961754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed TheMongolz20c87.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.275427.8%15 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz39c84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7650947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8766…0ef8backed Vitality58c74.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.512152.9%64 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Vitality58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x120e…990abacked Vitality72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4410158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed Vitality59c68.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.117546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed TheMongolz43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54030%12 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked TheMongolz45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa52…3607backed TheMongolz30c54.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Vitality56c53.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5813247%62 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed TheMongolz43c53.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319658.2%114 W · 82 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1547…09a8backed Vitality58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed TheMongolz45c51.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18f…41eabacked Vitality60c50.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.33033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Vitality72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.112132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked TheMongolz54c48.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.89349.5%46 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Vitality55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4531532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.