TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1765…17fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$110.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.48
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$122.38
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.78
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$154.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$45.71
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs PARIVISION (+2.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,739
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55.88
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,152
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,155
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,174.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,600
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$621.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,935.99
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+71.4%+$928.31
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$914.88
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$547.73
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$223.82
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+114.3%+$1,584.16
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,299.76
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$335.36
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.6%+$311.51
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$372
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$2,462.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+60%+$799.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$199
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.