South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eac29709f09b7e4b70bba4f0e4ed1342824362087c2498b50bf9842a2e743af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 6,139$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.67 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 5,243$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.99 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 13c | 5,139$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.54 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 5,057$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.29 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 4,629$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.83 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Yes | 13c | 1,399$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.92 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 968.47$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 12c | 841.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 62c | 640.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 40c | 559.1$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.14 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 11c | 544.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 75c | 465.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 434.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 375$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 14c | 350$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…0450backed Yes | 11c | 323.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 48c | 311.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 278.92$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes | 36c | 253.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 12c | 233$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…bef6backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 13c | 197.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 25c | 194$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 10c | 188.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 143.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6106…1321backed Yes | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…094dbacked Yes | 12c | 135$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 50c | 125.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 124.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 124$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…adbebacked Yes | 12c | 123$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…c5b8backed Yes | 12c | 116$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…aba9backed Yes | 13c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7f…3d86backed Yes | 12c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 57c | 113.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…bf86backed Yes | 12c | 109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…9a1cbacked Yes | 12c | 108$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…3dddbacked Yes | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 40c | 100.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…3173backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…2380backed Yes | 12c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…82bcbacked Yes | 12c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 94.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 12c | 88.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…2b4abacked Yes | 13c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…18f3backed Yes | 47c | 85.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…17febacked Yes | 36c | 68.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 41c | 61.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Yes | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked No | 77c | 34.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 60c | 26.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…a363backed No | 69c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-04?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.