South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04097caa554bfccdcb82fcfdc8e610d68c07e242f74d7616c9d908b1df841500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 8,326$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 49c | 6,165$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 4,336$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.43 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 3,334$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.31 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 32c | 3,097$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 2,777$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 32c | 2,609$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.38 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 2,416$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 64c | 2,008$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 1,730$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.06 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 41c | 1,692$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f5…de42backed Yes | 66c | 1,219$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 68c | 1,133$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.2 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,081$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 32c | 866.94$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 31c | 828.92$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 70c | 742.53$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 60c | 730.36$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.14 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165f…358abacked Yes | 40c | 664$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 47c | 596.52$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.52 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 67c | 573.69$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.69 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed No | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…7268backed Yes | 41c | 517.15$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 51c | 504.65$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…56febacked Yes | 62c | 480.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 37c | 466$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 33c | 456.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 399.27$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.64 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 68c | 386.29$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…ce7fbacked Yes | 32c | 379.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Yes | 56c | 375.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 366$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 70c | 345.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 338.69$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 70c | 323.32$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…be90backed Yes | 31c | 322.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 31c | 306.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 47c | 304.41$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 31c | 295.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 30c | 280.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…0d1cbacked Yes | 32c | 262.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 255$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 31c | 223.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 59c | 212.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 31c | 191.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 186.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 60c | 182.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 30c | 180.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 64c | 156.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 68c | 151$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed No | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 149.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 54c | 148.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 29c | 147.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 56c | 144.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 31c | 144.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…bef6backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…d9a6backed Yes | 43c | 133.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 24c | 131.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked No | 31c | 129.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 41c | 127.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 37c | 126.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked No | 71c | 120.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Yes | 35c | 114.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 30c | 112$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 65c | 105$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 19c | 101.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…2ba0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 75c | 94.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked Yes | 62c | 93.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 65c | 89.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 30c | 81.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 69c | 80.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 47c | 76.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…9a09backed Yes | 69c | 72.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 51c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes | 65c | 70.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed No | 31c | 69.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…c47dbacked Yes | 71c | 69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-04?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.